According to a market overview published by Gaming Compliance International (GCI) on July 21, 2023, a staggering 77% of the Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) from online gambling in Africa is generated by illegal operators. This report, which covers all 54 countries on the continent, provides critical insights into the online gambling landscape for 2024-2025.
The continental market is projected to reach $23 billion in GGR by 2025. Of this, licensed operators are expected to contribute $5.2 billion (23%), an increase from $4.4 billion (22%) the previous year. In contrast, the illegal segment is anticipated to generate $17.8 billion (77%), up from $15.6 billion (78%). This discrepancy highlights the ongoing challenge of illegal gambling in the region.
Tax losses for African countries due to illegal gambling are estimated at $3.55 billion for 2025, calculated as 20% of the illegal GGR. The number of illegal online operators targeting the African audience has risen to 4,129, compared to 3,644 the previous year. Additionally, 215 million people (14% of the population) are expected to engage in online gambling in 2025, up from 198 million (13%).
Regionally, North Africa has the highest share of illegal gambling at 99.7%, while Western Africa boasts the highest proportion of licensed operators at 31% ($1.5 billion out of $4.8 billion GGR). Nigeria, with 56% of its market being illegal, has the lowest rate in Western Africa, which averages 69% for the region and 77% continent-wide.
GCI's report indicates that illegal sports broadcasts in Africa account for 83% of the illegal segment, often accompanied by advertisements for illegal operators. The surge in illegal activity is often linked to major football tournaments, ranging from local leagues to the Champions League and World Cup.
The CEO of GCI stated that while the licensed segment is growing and gaining market share in several countries, the primary issue is not the demand but rather the transition to the legal segment. The share of licensed operators has only increased by one percentage point over the year, with the illegal segment adding $2.2 billion compared to $0.8 billion for the legal segment. The number of illegal operators has also increased by 13%.
GCI provides solutions for monitoring gambling markets and combating the illegal segment. The data in this overview is based on the company's own estimates and has not undergone independent auditing.